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California Focus: Here we go again: Californians asked to borrow billions more

Are we Californians a bunch of drunken sailors? Even if very few of us get any closer to the ocean's surface than sitting on a sandy beach, that's what we've acted like for the last four years -- essentially since Arnold Schwarzenegger became governor.

It started with his $15 billion budget balancing bond act, passed in 2004, the one he campaigned for by pledging to "throw away the credit card" if it passed. Well, it passed and will cost the state about $30 billion over 30 years, since eventual interest payments on government bonds generally total about the same as the original principal amount.

Schwarzenegger broke that promise, as he has many others. He's backed other bonds for highway construction, water purification, school buildings and bridge building over the last four years. In all, we taxpayers have borrowed almost $60 billion in just over four years, an unprecedented total.

And there's a good chance we'll take out new loans for an additional $20 billion in November, when four significant bond issues will be up for yes or no votes.

Every one of these things -- like all the bond propositions of recent years -- is for a good cause. The fall ballot features votes on funding for high speed rail that would eventually serve the bulk of the state between San Diego and San Francisco, with frequent service also to Sacramento, Los Angeles, Fresno and Bakersfield. Just to start that project, state legislators are asking voters to approve $9.95 billion in bonds.

There's also almost $1 billion in bonds for building and renovating children's hospitals. Another $5 billion is proposed for helping develop alternative fuel vehicles (read electric -- and hydrogen-powered), with just short of $1 billion more proposed to help war veterans buy houses, condominiums and mobile homes.

Put them together, and over the 30-year repayment period, those bonds would cost taxpayers almost $32 billion. Combine that with what's been borrowed in the last few years, and California is looking at repayment costs that might exceed $4 billion per year for 30 years to come. As the late U.S. Sen. Everett Dirksen once said when considering a federal budget, "A billion here, a billion there, and pretty soon you're talking real money."

Then there's the small matter of tying the hands of future legislators. The state's existing obligations to pay principal and interest on past bonds is one major reason for the budget battles that paralyze Sacramento each summer.

Yet, no one even considers an alternative to borrowing. There is one, of course. It's called pay as you go.

If present lawmakers had any faith in themselves or in the courage of the legislators who will follow them, they'd stop borrowing. They would realize they could pay the same amount each year that they now spend on servicing bonds, complete all the projects now proposed, and pay them off 15 years earlier than under present proposals.

But they don't even consider this. Remarked Schwarzenegger the other day to a newspaper editorial board: "Don't you see? Bonds are a gift from the future." In his self-described wisdom, the governor doesn't see bonds are really a way of tying the future's hands and stealing its options.

No one else in Sacramento seems to understand this, either. "It's the general consensus that bonding is the way to finance major government construction projects," said one state Senate committee chair. "That way you have the money up front, it is reliable, and you don't have to worry. Plus, the impact of inflation minimizes the real value of the payments you make."

You don't have to worry, that is, until you see what other programs must be cut because of all those massive interest payments.

Here are a few points to consider about pay-as-you-go: 1) Very few bond issues are spent all at once. The money is usually parceled out over a minimum of five years, and often much longer. Especially with major building projects like new freeways or rail lines, it can take a decade or longer before the state has even bought up the full right of way needed to begin construction.

2) If the public sees progress on a project like high speed rail or school renovation and continues to see a need for it, those projects will have no trouble getting general fund money from year to year. But in case of emergencies like earthquakes or large-scale fire reconstruction, pay-as-you-go allows for temporary suspension of some projects while money flows to more urgent ones.

3) You end up cutting the full cost of any construction in half.

But these facts are ignored by state legislators. They'd rather look like heroes and stars today with borrowed money than make life more secure for those who come later.

Which means one basic question before voters this fall is this: Will we continue trying to borrow our way into future showpiece projects, or will we wise up and start to solve our budget problems by saying no to bonds?

(Sept. 30, 2008)

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The following are comments from the readers. In no way do they represent the views of the Hanford Sentinel

Alihandero wrote on Sep 30, 2008 2:46 PM:

" Sometimes we voters need to sit back, take a deep breath, and just think practically.

Why in the world would we want a 200 mph Bullet train costing mucho ($9.95 billion in bonds) bucks?

Would it be produced and utilized in numbers great enough to allow well-off commuters to travel from LA to the Bay area and Fresno to work on a daily basis, or would it just be a novelty so we could have bragging rights?

How about all of those train wrecks we have heard about recently? The mind boggles at a truck or a person unfortunate enough to be standing on the tracks. The term ‘liquification' comes to mind.

Boy, I would like - just once - to see a 200 mph bullet train go through the Hanford station at speed - warning horns be damned! The vacuum alone would suck up rubberneckers standing anywhere in the vicinity. And we think that the F-18 flyovers are cool, wait till we see this!

It could be timed to pass through our town on those cool Thursday night marketplace events- bring the family for a special treat! "

aufever wrote on Sep 30, 2008 4:41 PM:

" Only one Bond to Vote Yes on and that's Prop12, the Veterans Bond Act. This program is completely self supporting and doesn't cost Taxpayers a dime. As to the supposed Energy Bonds, There is a lot of out of State Monies backing these and whom are the real beneficiaries? Now the Biggie is the 9.95 Billion to start the train from LA To SF, I have a better solution, let LA and SF Pay for it, unlike the New Bay Bridge that all California pays for. "

Deb wrote on Oct 1, 2008 12:02 AM:

" While sitting back thinking - I recall the ACE high speed train slated for San Joaquin Co. and debate then. ACE was built and ACE is doing quite well now and in fact the first quarter of this year had a 13.6 increase in ridership. Almost as large as the AMTRAK increase in ridership.

A commuter train into and out of the bay area though is a bit different than this proposal, but I can't help but wonder...

Less Co2 pumped out of cars, less money spent at the gas pumps, additional jobs created, less stress on an already fractured highway system. Less # of the short commuter flights from the Bay Area, Sac and FAT to the LA area - think of the savings in consumer cost and jet fuel costs plus the reduction in associated damage to the atmosphere. Maybe less fog related pileups could also be reward.

Dang-it's almost sounding like the High Speed train has an altruistic ring to in for CA. Countries all over the world utilize high speed rail because in many cases they know the cost of driving is much more expensive -in more ways than one. "

Sid wrote on Oct 1, 2008 10:07 AM:

" Prop 1A, High Speed Rail (HSR) Bond's a BOONDOGGLE of the HSR Commission spending nearly $10 million in tax dollars over the past 6 years. It has:

-No current business plan

-No private investors, only taxpayers

-No right of way agreements in critical areas with the Union Pacific Railroad

-No finalized route placement(!)

-Limited stops in the Central Valley compaired to mostly Express service between LA & Bay Area

-Creates a NEW 400 mile plus scar on the land exposed to terrorist attention more so than airports.

-Needs massive electric power to operate in a state that needs to "flex your power now" to cover up its inability to generate needed electricity for today's poplulation.

-Speculated cost overrrun DOUBLE of the original nearly $10 billion bond. (Our grandkids will be paying this one off).

Who contributed to this lack of a prepared HSR Plan?

Why the Vice Chair of the HSR Commission, Fran Florez, who is now running to replace Nicole Parra as our Assembly representative this November.

I won't reward mediocrity with my vote in November to someone who "worked" this project via her son's influence... "

Alihandero wrote on Oct 1, 2008 6:11 PM:

" I agree with you 100% Sid, but
"Deb" thinks it's a good idea . . .

I thought that we taxpayers subsidize AMTRAK with mucho, mucho bucks and will never pay for itself - ever. There was a PBS show fairly recently as I recall that pointed that out. Every AMTRAK rider pays only a fraction of the actual rail expense and taxpayers pay the rest.

Are we expecting PACKED bullet train cars every day like we see in Japan - standing room only?

How much will those tickets cost? Will we subsidize that too?

I wonder how long it takes a bullet train to stop at any given point? The momentum alone increases dramatically with speed (E=MVsquared/2). So basically we will have an express train with few local stops here and there; mostly there.

One thing I do know: I will not be voting for the mother (Mrs. Florez) or the son's pork-and-bureaucracy-laden bill.

Enough is enough "

sid wrote on Oct 2, 2008 3:04 PM:

" If HSR is built, it will put out of eliminate the need and associated jobs for two EXISTING AMTRAK passenger railroads:

1. Central Valley "San Joaquin: service between Oakland and Bakersfield (and connecting bus to LA) The Highway 99 corridor.

2. AMTRAK "Coast Starlight" service Between LA and Seattle via the Highway 101 corridor (Santa Barbara, San Luis Obispo, Paso Robles, Salinas).

First above would be replaced by HSR. The second would have NO REPLACEMENT to serve those along the 101 corridor. The Highway 101/costline service needs those passengers going between Oakland and Seattle to make that segment viable.

Alihandero pointed out AMTRAK gets annual subsidies (taxpayer money) from the federal goverment. Perhaps HSR will get similar taxpayer subsidies from the STATE government; you know, the one with a recent $15 billion budget deficit...

But won't we all "feel good" for being "green" by supporting this HSR "plan"?

Roads/highways are bought & paid for! They only need improvement/up-keep. Everyone will still drive private cars to go to work, shop, go to school, etc.. Lets get those alternative fuel cars on our existing roads ASAP for everyone vice HSR for a few from LA/SFO. "

Carl.Spackler wrote on Oct 3, 2008 11:16 PM:

" Alihadero and Sid are absolutely correct. HSR is a ridiculous waste of money is a state that is in deep already. I can guarantee you they have understated the cost by 200%and the time frame by 10 years. "

Hmm wrote on Oct 6, 2008 5:10 PM:

" The Amtrack trains we have now are capable of doing 155 mph all day long, as long as the tracks are in good enough shape. Sadly, none in the U.S. are. If you go to Japan, europe and experience their high speed rail, you'll find that very seldom do they get up to above 150 mph. Sometimes they get to around 185, but very rarely. It takes a long time to stop something like that. Also, something to consider is that once you get up to the top third of speed capacity, fuel efficiency drops in half and if you ever go through a tunnel, the trains must be pressurized to avoid blowing out your ears. Let's fix what we've got, give passenger trains their own tracks (next to the freighters) and this could be done within our lifetimes and also employ thousands. "




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